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🛒 Shelf wars

Good morning. Grocery shelves used to have a pecking order, and that hierarchy collapsed. Traditionally, consumer packaged goods heavyweights claimed the prime real estate while store brands got shoved to the bottom shelf. However, retailers spent years quietly upgrading their own house brands, and now shoppers grab them first (opens in a new tab), the familiar name second. That comes as private label sales hit $245B last year, already claiming roughly one in five items on the shelf. The logo mattered a lot less than the price tag ever did.

Top Idea

Top Idea

AI Safety Warnings Are Growing. Investors Aren’t Walking Away Yet

AI stocks are treating the latest alarm bell like background noise. OpenAI disclosed (opens in a new tab) new cases of concerning model behavior this week, exposing another complication as increasingly powerful systems roll out. However, investors found plenty elsewhere to keep the AI trade moving.

Strained out: OpenAI is putting a speed limit on the race it helped ignite. The company warned (opens in a new tab) that AI can’t “continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer” and introduced a framework for tracking and disclosing model misalignment. That covers cases where models acted without authorization, coordinated with other models, or dodged oversight. That puts safeguards alongside compute and infrastructure as another constraint on expansion.

  • OpenAI reported six concerning incidents uncovered during model training or evaluation over the past several months.
  • In one case, a model inserted instructions telling itself to hide mistakes or signs of misalignment from users during task handoffs.

Wall Street Still Wants The Trade

The selloff quickly became a chance to buy back into AI infrastructure. Corning, Coherent, Lumentum, and Marvell had fallen (opens in a new tab) after OpenAI CEO Sam Altman joined calls to slow AI development. Buyers soon returned, lifting several of the names despite added pressure from the Fed’s first rate hike in more than three years. The pullback gave investors a cheaper way back into the buildout.

  • Marvell emerged as one of Thursday’s strongest performers, reversing some of the losses from the previous session.
  • Corning and Coherent climbed alongside it, showing the appetite for companies tied to the buildout remained intact.

Safety catches up: OpenAI’s disclosures are turning AI safety from a theoretical risk into something companies may have to plan around. Omdia’s Lian Jye Su said agents are becoming more willing to use collaboration, knowledge sharing, deception, and concealment to complete complex tasks. That could eventually influence regulation, spending, and rollout timelines. Wall Street is still backing the buildout, but the industry is getting a clearer look at what comes with it.

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Large-Cap Recap

Holtec's IPO Exposes Cracks in Nuclear Boom

Holtec suspended its planned US IPO after previously seeking to raise $900M at a $10B valuation, citing market conditions. That setback highlights how investors are separating immediate nuclear demand from long-term projects that may take years to deliver. While Microsoft and Amazon continue driving power agreements for existing plants, unproven technologies and governance structures face tougher scrutiny. Investors now favor nearer-term capacity upgrades over distant growth. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

SEC Clears the Path for Tokenized Stocks

Wall Street is adopting blockchain trading after regulators approved a temporary five year framework for digital shares. The decision lets approved platforms trade tokenized US stocks while offering exemptions for liquidity providers. Eligible tokens must provide standard shareholder rights including dividends and voting. Companies can block third parties from tokenizing their shares by objecting within thirty days. Robinhood Markets and Coinbase Global are positioning themselves to enter the market. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Mastercard and Visa Race to Enable Bot Checkout

Mastercard partnered with startup Alchemy this week to let AI bots make online purchases using virtual credit cards with preset spending limits. The move follows similar steps by Visa and American Express as major card networks rush to establish infrastructure for agentic commerce. While developers see massive potential in automated shopping, widespread adoption depends heavily on resolving fraud risks and liability questions. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Market Pulse

Workday, Inc.

WDAY

The software company’s shares jumped as renewed optimism around a potential take-private deal emerged amid continued financing efforts.

DraftKings Inc.

DKNG

The sports betting company’s shares sank as Kalshi’s dominance in NFL prediction markets fueled concerns about DraftKings’ competitive position.

Vicor Corporation

VICR

The power technology company’s shares surged after licensing its AI chip power-delivery technology to a leading AI equipment maker.

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The Fed’s Going After Chinese Robots

America just banned foreign robotics imports, a direct shot at China, which controls up to 85% of supply. That’s one more tailwind for 100%-American companies like Miso Robotics (opens in a new tab). They’re first-movers in the $1T fast-food market, with brands like White Castle deploying Miso’s Flippy Fry Station. Two 2026 acquisitions added customers like Jersey Mike’s and grew the company’s IP portfolio 10X.

And it’s not only 100k+ US fast-food locations in need. Miso’s tech is now working at colleges and an NBA arena (opens in a new tab). Everyday people like you have invested 44k+ times. Industry Powerhouse Ecolab did too. Join them as a Miso investor today (opens in a new tab).

Markets & Economy

AI exposure slows white-collar hiring: Artificial intelligence is reshaping the labor market by cooling entry-level hiring and wage growth in exposed roles without triggering widespread layoffs. Real wages for the most vulnerable workers have fallen 6.7% since 2023. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

US pending home sales edge higher: Contracts to buy existing homes unexpectedly rose 0.3% in August, but remained well below pre-pandemic levels. Elevated mortgage rates continue to sideline buyers and keep the broader housing recovery weak. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Utility bills outpace inflation: US household energy bills rose faster than overall inflation this summer as heat, grid upgrades, and growing electricity demand pushed costs higher. Bank of America expects longer-term pressure as infrastructure investment continues. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Business & Tech

Yeti projects solid growth through 2030: Yeti Holdings forecasts mid-single-digit to high-single-digit annual sales growth and $1.2B to $1.4B in cumulative free cash flow through fiscal 2030. International expansion and new products are expected to drive gains. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Nebius hikes AI chip prices again: Nebius is raising rental rates for select Nvidia chips by up to 21% starting Oct. 1. The move marks the second price increase in three months as soaring demand for computing power strains supply. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Costco delivery battle heats up: Costco expanded delivery with DoorDash and Uber, challenging Instacart after years of partnership. The deals deepen both rivals’ push into grocery delivery as competition for retail spending intensifies. [Read (opens in a new tab)]

Chart

Chart

Digit of the Day

Housing Market Cools as 38% of Builders Cut Prices

Home builders are throwing in the towel on 2026. In September, 38% (opens in a new tab) cut prices, the highest share in eight months, as high mortgage rates and persistent labor shortages squeeze the industry from both sides. With builder confidence sitting at its weakest point in a year, discounts alone aren’t turning the tide.

  • The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index sank to 32 (opens in a new tab) this month, down from 35 in August — with the average price cut holding at 6%.
  • Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2007 — pushing 30-year mortgages above 6.76% and further chilling demand.

Homebuilder economics: Even with discounts, renting still beats buying. The typical homebuyer pays ~$1.07K more per month than a renter, or nearly $13K a year, per Zillow, while 75% of US households can’t afford a median-priced new home. That squeeze is splitting the builder pool. Toll Brothers stays insulated with wealthier, equity-rich buyers, while entry-level builder LGI Homes saw cancellations jump to 49.4% from 32.7% (opens in a new tab) last quarter. With the Fed already raising rates on Wednesday (opens in a new tab), don’t expect that math to ease soon.

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Retail Stocks Are Heading Into Their Biggest Test

The holiday season is just weeks away, and retailers face a mixed setup. Inflation is still squeezing shoppers and pushing up costs, but recent earnings showed plenty of consumers are still willing to spend.

Watch the consumer: Ross Stores is benefiting as shoppers hunt for value, while Target is showing signs its turnaround is taking hold. Ralph Lauren has held up well as higher-income shoppers keep spending.

Beyond sales: Strong sales mean less when discounts and higher costs eat into profits. Retailers that can protect margins without losing customers should have an edge this holiday season.

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Disclosures

Today’s edition of Finks Daily was written by Rhea Lobo and Daniel Schoester. Designs by Daniela Mavrich.

All content provided by Finks is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading or investment recommendations.