RocketRKT

lived up to its name Tuesday, blasting 8.4% higher on CEO Varun Krishna’s new announcement. The mortgage giant revealed a wave of demand as 30-year rates dropped to three-year lows. The rally marks a turning point for the bellwether firm, signalling that the frozen mortgage market is finally thawing after years of ice-cold activity.

• President Trump’s $200B mortgage directive fueled the rally — with industry forecasts now projecting up to 25% market growth through 2026 as affordability improves.
• Still, buyers hold leverage, as 62% of homes sold below list price last year, at an average 8% discount — forcing sellers to make concessions while cancelled contracts surge.

The prisoner’s dilemma: Rocket’s momentum rides on existing homeowners refinancing and moving, but a massive demand driver sits on the sidelines. Thanks to stubborn prices, elevated rates, and insurance hikes, renting remains 37% cheaper than owning across all 100 major metros — with 22 cities like New York, Bridgeport, and Providence seeing ownership cost 50%+ more. While lower rates entice locked-in sellers, they can’t unlock first-time buyers trapped by the rent-own gap. With renters locked out and existing homeowners finite, Rocket’s rally may be riding on borrowed time.