Americans Are Sobering Up at Record Rates — And It’s Creating Surprising Winners in the Vice Market

America has finally realized that hangovers are bad for productivity — a revelation somehow more surprising than decades of medical research saying the same. The nation’s drinking rate fell to a near 90-year low of 54% in July 2025, as people embrace what doctors have long warned: alcohol isn’t the health tonic many hoped for when they traded beer for wine just because it seemed classier.
The sobering reality: Young adults aged 18-34 now drink at a 50% rate, putting them behind older generations for the first time — a sharp reversal from when they led alcohol consumption. This shift comes as 53% of Americans believe moderate drinking harms health, up from 28% in 2018, and as overall consumption continues to fall. The booze business is feeling the squeeze on two fronts:
America’s sobriety surge is reshaping the landscape of traditional sin investing, turning past wisdom on its head. Alcohol makers are losing ground as consumers link drinking to cancer and other health risks, while companies selling smokeless nicotine products — from pouches to lozenges — are thriving. These products promise stimulation without the dangers of smoking, attracting health-conscious users who see them as a “safer” vice. The result is a reversal in vice-market fortunes:
Losing the buzz: Beer’s place in America’s vice hierarchy has been steadily eroding — its popularity has dropped from 47% in the early 1990s to just 34% today, now tied with wine. Meanwhile, nicotine pouches like Zyn have built devoted “Zynfluencer” followings and secured regulatory approval as smoking alternatives. With 56% of adults cutting back on alcohol for wellness reasons and tariffs on aluminum cans pushing up costs, Goldman Sachs warns that beer may soon be “the combustible section of the alcohol category” — essentially the new cigarettes.